According to @gdb, GPT-4.5 is state-of-the-art on a forecasting benchmark and, at current trends, models are about one year away from matching the performance of superforecasters. According to @gdb, this assessment references benchmarking shared by @Research_FRI on X.

According to Google DeepMind, the collaboration with the National Weather Service National Hurricane Center (NWSNHC) aims to scientifically validate AI-driven forecasting models, providing earlier and more accurate warnings for hazards associated with tropical cyclones. For crypto traders, improved hazard predictions can reduce market volatility caused by extreme weather events, helping exchanges and investors better manage risk and maintain price stability. Source: Google DeepMind (@GoogleDeepMind) on Twitter, June 12, 2025.